TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b65…013e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.1
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$196
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,205.85
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$423.98
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+174%+$126.99
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.5
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.9
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.05
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.63
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.41
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.02
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$282
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,727.11
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.96
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.99
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$154.5
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.94
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$202.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$75.02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$144
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+474.7%+$412.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$77.57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$159.6
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$251.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+870.1%+$137.16
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$136
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$91.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$159
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.5
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.1
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$45.81
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.88
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.7
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.11
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.95
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$53.5
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$185
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+275.9%+$146.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$101.6
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.33
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.99
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$272
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$213
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.31
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$63.22
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$434
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$193.21
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.31
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$50.62
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.6
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$156.17
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+635.3%+$86.4
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.06
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,739Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$455.17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$94.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.88
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.99
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+71.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.