World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab34da411ff12ee1660a45b2fe3166a8bf726d0d3f5b491ec60d45e32d8207e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 6,485$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.81 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…98c3backed Yes | 33c | 6,164$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 4,617$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.62 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,443$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 2,634$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.47 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 11c | 2,416$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.34 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 22c | 2,262$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 19c | 2,149$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…1b8cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,994$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 1,600$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,547$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 1,394$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.93 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed Yes | 16c | 1,266$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 14c | 1,227$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…a7f6backed Yes | 17c | 1,197$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked No | 75c | 1,176$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…1d8bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,101$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…062ebacked No | 64c | 1,077$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 1,022$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 975$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 843.24$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 73c | 837.12$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 806.5$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…d69cbacked Yes | 17c | 779.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed Yes | 36c | 707.24$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…99f4backed Yes | 15c | 689.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…2525backed Yes | 15c | 680.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Yes | 10c | 647.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes | 20c | 607$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 78c | 593.46$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 22c | 581.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x527b…c7bebacked Yes | 16c | 579.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 18c | 573.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 7c | 570$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ba5abacked Yes | 20c | 536.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…66e0backed Yes | 19c | 527.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 30c | 515.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…b896backed Yes | 26c | 505.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 8c | 500.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 7c | 499.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…aa52backed Yes | 20c | 495.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 12c | 462.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…1c90backed Yes | 15c | 451.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 17c | 421.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 17c | 416.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 37c | 416$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 72c | 413.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…70efbacked Yes | 14c | 409.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 11c | 399.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…7b11backed Yes | 21c | 398.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 396.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 12c | 379.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 36c | 373.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 370.65$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…e6f1backed Yes | 16c | 368.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 23c | 362$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes | 17c | 332.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…6d35backed Yes | 13c | 326.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 16c | 315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 18c | 272.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 33c | 260.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 248$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 29c | 241.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…1f74backed Yes | 34c | 239.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 14c | 230.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 219$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 212.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 206.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 204.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3d39backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…4e76backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 199.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…1f58backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470f…e804backed Yes | 17c | 165.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…c001backed Yes | 29c | 157.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 62c | 157.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 14c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2e…0d48backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 142.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…e1d5backed Yes | 14c | 142.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 24c | 142$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 69c | 130.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 28c | 126.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed Yes | 29c | 113.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…80fdbacked Yes | 37c | 106.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…b327backed Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 20c | 100.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes won
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?No won
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?No won
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.