TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73d2…f9b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,814
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1,08265.6%710 W · 372 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,082 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.97
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$30.76
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.99
Showing 25 of 1,082 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13268.9%91 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.6
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$72
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.66
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.79
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.6
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$86.4
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$84.78
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$46.4
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.2
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.85
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT11944.5%53 W · 66 L-17.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.8
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$606.85
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$726.67
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$691
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$131.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$118
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.5
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.72
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,557.35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$144
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT8550.6%43 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chip Neiman be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.87
Will Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$38.4
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$20.66
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.8
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.76
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.4
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.8
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$98
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$9.76
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.26
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.43
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$307
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$73.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$274.77
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$285
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$101
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$63.51
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$123
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$256
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.39
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of June 15 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.99
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mutiny" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$86.16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$134
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.4
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.4
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$150.63
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$51.4
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Earnings — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.6
Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$48
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.8
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.8
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.2
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.99
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.6
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.2
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$1,494.64
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,932Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$3,032.19
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$69.12
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$212.05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,075Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.5%+$998.68
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.8%+$536.71
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,129.94
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$139.05
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$105.17
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15,255.91
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,616Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.1%+$4,384.71
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,070Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+41.4%+$2,929.83
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.9%+$76.18
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$579.76
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+129%+$764.32
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,653Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,298.79
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$149.22
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.02
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,559.35
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,507.95
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$543.79
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$923.76
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,056Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$649.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.86
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.2
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.47
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.8
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.62
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.2
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.4
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Lime's market cap be between $1.4B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.98
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$205
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Daybacked Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.08
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$203
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$147.33
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$163.62
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $3.0B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.98
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be less than $4.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,567.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$499
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.8%+$848.14
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$193.93
Another ATACMS strike into Russian territory by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.4%+$144.29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.3%+$1,428.87
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.2%+$831.55
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$155
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,662.02
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$105
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$668.34
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$412.39
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$729.41
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$139.42
All 20 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.1
Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$43.2
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.46
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$59.09
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.76
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$525.99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$120.5
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,068.5
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$297.92
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$584.78
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,787Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$766.04
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.6
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.4
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$79.6
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kanebacked Mbappe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.01
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$57.58
Will PPI YoY be 6.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.25
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.98
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$85.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$479.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Soriano be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.