Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd27f00a2670600faa2b0536e7cd253a5c3124bcb5af3823cd8d130282acfe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 52c | 10,577$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.56 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed No | 45c | 5,678$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.66 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 46c | 3,181$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…7195backed Yes | 41c | 2,930$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 2,016$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.43 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 41c | 1,893$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 1,751$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.89 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 66c | 1,587$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.62 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 57c | 1,312$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.3 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed No | 7c | 1,295$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 36c | 1,253$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 1,240$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 1,210$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.06 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 37c | 1,079$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.55 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…87cabacked Yes | 73c | 1,047$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 1,020$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,001$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked No | 75c | 969.81$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.82 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 952.86$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.88 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 21c | 842.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.98 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked Yes | 25c | 842.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +281%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 800$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 712.89$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.16 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 679.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 60c | 638.78$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 18c | 636.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 76c | 606.85$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa189…a2d5backed No | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 588$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.89 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 37c | 564.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed Yes | 17c | 556.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 8c | 509.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…7a24backed Yes | 56c | 488.11$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 74c | 482.17$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 24c | 474.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked No | 40c | 454.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 440$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 19c | 419.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 34c | 410.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 41c | 407.67$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 3c | 397.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Yes | 35c | 391$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…9662backed No | 68c | 386.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 14c | 386.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked Yes | 33c | 372.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…357fbacked Yes | 65c | 360$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 354.08$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 32c | 351.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 24c | 331.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 44c | 326.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…1f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 321.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 54c | 306.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed No | 48c | 295$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03b…32dabacked Yes | 58c | 283.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 63c | 275.23$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Yes | 56c | 269.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 16c | 260$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +417.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 62c | 251.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 24c | 247.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f54ebacked No | 14c | 240.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 68c | 240.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 59c | 239.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 238.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 49c | 221.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 25c | 219.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 25c | 207.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 71c | 205.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…8220backed Yes | 12c | 203.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Yes | 22c | 202.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked No | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…0992backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +578.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 30c | 195.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…0588backed Yes | 46c | 191.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 14c | 186.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 15c | 184.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 180$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd7…2c2cbacked Yes | 50c | 176.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 37c | 171.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…b8c0backed No | 35c | 161.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…e1ccbacked Yes | 69c | 159.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 68c | 158.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Yes | 61c | 154.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…0f96backed Yes | 43c | 152.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…395abacked Yes | 66c | 152.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 150.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…b8adbacked Yes | 67c | 148.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 45c | 142$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 72c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…15c8backed No | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 137.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc808…fffebacked No | 76c | 135$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 26c | 121.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 120$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 390m and 400m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 400m and 410m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 410m and 420m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.