TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cc7…2385

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
277
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8626.7%23 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+42.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.68
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.02
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.37
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.42
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.21
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+956.4%+$1,186.77
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+238.6%+$167.15
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.45
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.66
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,736.41
Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.78
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain in Boston, MA on August 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+160%+$105.05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$10.83
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$36.83
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.53
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.25
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.11
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.9
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+950%+$440.79
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.4
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.26
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.55
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT258%2 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-83.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.03
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$70.02
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.31
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.25
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.09
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.49
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.73
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.95
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.15
Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.25
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.4
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.71
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.76
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.95
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$79.99
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.62
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.6
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.11
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.02
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.65
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.01
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+228.6%+$1,270.78
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.5
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.3
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+921%+$1,897.34
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Will Brazil be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will United States be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Yuito Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will Assan Ouédraogo be in Germany's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.08
All 18 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.12
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.86
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.92
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.63
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.7
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.52
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$178
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+179.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stagebacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.67
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.