World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,558,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,605,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,558,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,880 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 31c | 143,801$43,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,877.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…5e3ebacked No | 30c | 95,286$28,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,585.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 67c | 89,073$59,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,253.72 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 69c | 54,121$37,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 72c | 54,038$38,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,076.03 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 33c | 43,397$14,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,224.02 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 78c | 42,112$33,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,086.26 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed No | 13c | 40,545$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 21c | 38,333$8,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,096.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…9381backed No | 38c | 34,315$13,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,093.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed No | 1c | 33,333$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 20c | 31,668$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,312.81 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 11c | 30,754$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.52 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 30c | 29,738$8,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820.85 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 59c | 28,194$16,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,420.37 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 13c | 26,694$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.34 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 75c | 26,245$19,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.48 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…fb2ebacked No | 43c | 25,923$11,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,161.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…880fbacked Yes | 70c | 24,450$17,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 65c | 23,688$15,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,194.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…b4cfbacked Yes | 70c | 23,149$16,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…bbf7backed Yes | 67c | 23,129$15,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…6193backed Yes | 70c | 23,086$16,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked No | 16c | 22,026$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 23c | 21,944$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 72c | 21,448$15,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,994.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bc0cbacked Yes | 70c | 21,240$14,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,372 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb749…2a64backed No | 30c | 21,127$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed No | 37c | 21,036$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 44c | 20,034$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,853.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 24c | 19,909$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yes | 69c | 19,679$13,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 68c | 19,020$13,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016.68 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 34c | 18,697$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 71c | 18,373$13,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 74c | 18,354$13,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 68c | 17,750$12,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.17 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…e86bbacked No | 25c | 16,259$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 69c | 15,553$10,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 66c | 15,421$10,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.89 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 13c | 15,003$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.4 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 69c | 14,617$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.55 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 63c | 14,122$8,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 36c | 13,919$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 44c | 12,577$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b17ebacked No | 39c | 12,174$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 26c | 12,041$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.22 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 20c | 11,843$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.32 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed No | 38c | 11,764$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 17c | 11,657$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 74c | 11,257$8,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed Yes | 80c | 11,047$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c01…3ffebacked No | 37c | 11,000$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 35c | 10,981$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 76c | 10,899$8,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 40c | 10,258$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 75c | 10,236$7,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.05 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 20c | 10,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked No | 8c | 10,000$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a6…ebddbacked No | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…28a1backed No | 34c | 9,984$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…5f5ebacked Yes | 72c | 9,913$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked No | 30c | 9,861$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed No | 18c | 9,841$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d12…6be5backed Yes | 70c | 9,753$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd7…4c73backed Yes | 57c | 9,694$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 20c | 9,682$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.48 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…ece8backed Yes | 69c | 9,662$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 75c | 9,542$7,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 9,481$7,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.67 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 1c | 9,444$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 17c | 9,245$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…6be6backed No | 19c | 9,228$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 14c | 8,611$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed No | 30c | 8,458$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 69c | 8,234$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed No | 33c | 8,104$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…9b0dbacked No | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 36c | 7,928$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.03 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 68c | 7,895$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.29 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 76c | 7,879$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 19c | 7,878$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…b527backed Yes | 80c | 7,818$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 21c | 7,795$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 53c | 7,781$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…9942backed Yes | 73c | 7,600$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 25c | 7,510$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 28c | 7,500$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 20c | 7,046$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.2 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 16c | 6,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 71c | 6,800$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 27c | 6,340$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 6,273$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed No | 12c | 6,232$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 16c | 6,190$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…9803backed Yes | 74c | 6,000$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed No | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.