World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b6f4d40f33f456caba50434db5ea8c5ca93e84eb912054a80ca0c58ad70dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,106,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,060,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,106,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 72,391$11,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,311.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 67c | 57,020$37,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,046.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 4c | 55,555$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 12c | 42,064$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…aae1backed No | 68c | 23,506$16,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,504.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Yes | 31c | 22,222$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 31c | 21,046$6,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes | 3c | 20,357$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 57c | 19,911$11,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,552.92 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 17c | 18,527$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 28c | 16,493$4,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 10c | 15,982$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.69 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 15,917$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.76 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…f1b0backed Yes | 7c | 15,409$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 65c | 14,991$9,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,186.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed No | 80c | 14,669$11,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 25c | 14,127$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.74 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 69c | 12,981$8,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…0559backed Yes | 12c | 12,950$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 34c | 12,792$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.73 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 28c | 12,148$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Yes | 7c | 11,531$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked No | 79c | 11,023$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 9c | 10,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 14c | 10,538$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 76c | 10,103$7,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.11 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 59c | 9,937$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 64c | 9,827$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…1ceebacked Yes | 11c | 9,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 27c | 9,263$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 66c | 9,172$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…f2c5backed Yes | 31c | 9,095$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 44c | 9,000$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 14c | 9,000$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.16 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…924abacked Yes | 7c | 8,857$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 36c | 8,819$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.64 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 16c | 8,554$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 59c | 8,522$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed No | 72c | 8,400$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 75c | 8,180$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 16c | 8,060$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.74 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 39c | 8,025$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…3714backed Yes | 54c | 7,637$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 75c | 7,459$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 15c | 7,143$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.43 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 70c | 6,899$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 44c | 6,869$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.91 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 6,868$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 20c | 6,811$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.01 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 22c | 6,791$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,740$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 6,421$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 65c | 6,342$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.18 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked No | 72c | 6,200$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 8c | 6,020$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 7c | 6,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 7c | 6,000$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.96 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 5,900$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 28c | 5,847$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.79 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…9942backed Yes | 35c | 5,765$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 36c | 5,641$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 59c | 5,615$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.74 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed No | 78c | 5,540$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…efd5backed Yes | 3c | 5,352$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 54c | 5,335$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 4,975$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 29c | 4,738$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 4,728$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed No | 76c | 4,676$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 75c | 4,588$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 26c | 4,572$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.91 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 19c | 4,482$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.9 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…5bbebacked Yes | 21c | 4,371$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 46c | 4,299$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.03 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 76c | 4,200$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 24c | 4,100$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 29c | 4,015$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…d74fbacked No | 78c | 4,007$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 57c | 4,001$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 65c | 4,000$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 36c | 3,871$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 60c | 3,818$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.95 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 12c | 3,635$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,555$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.96 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 46c | 3,533$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.86 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 76c | 3,500$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 29c | 3,460$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 54c | 3,440$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 56c | 3,408$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 21c | 3,381$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,376$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.05 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 43c | 3,296$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,289$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 76c | 3,154$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,090$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yes | 31c | 3,085$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…aaebbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.