World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6158282b574047044e504aabb1bc1f86ed28097e62d69425cb4403847767945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,036,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,871,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,036,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 5c | 205,757$10,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,615.39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 4c | 158,558$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 8c | 105,098$8,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,427.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07b…c963backed Yes | 4c | 62,526$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 4c | 54,650$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 3c | 52,802$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.07 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…fda0backed Yes | 4c | 51,071$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 10c | 41,387$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…53febacked Yes | 6c | 35,506$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…afbbbacked Yes | 5c | 34,711$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…71edbacked Yes | 7c | 32,383$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…e4d0backed Yes | 6c | 30,196$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 5c | 26,899$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 26,416$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.83 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 6c | 25,359$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 6c | 25,100$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…8e3bbacked Yes | 5c | 20,439$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…c08ebacked Yes | 4c | 20,062$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 5c | 19,496$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 17,851$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.37 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 3c | 16,994$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 1c | 15,811$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…66e7backed Yes | 3c | 15,515$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 2c | 14,567$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 4c | 14,274$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.04 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 1c | 13,939$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…b4efbacked Yes | 4c | 13,638$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 3c | 13,541$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…b8fdbacked Yes | 5c | 12,831$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 4c | 12,109$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…06f9backed Yes | 4c | 11,364$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 4c | 10,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…f317backed Yes | 5c | 10,385$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 9,601$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.38 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…afaebacked Yes | 4c | 9,508$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…ed7bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…d64abacked Yes | 10c | 8,744$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…6122backed Yes | 0c | 8,517$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,495$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…0ebabacked Yes | 1c | 8,492$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…4821backed Yes | 2c | 8,267$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f1…319bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…8e10backed Yes | 4c | 7,856$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…3a30backed Yes | 7c | 7,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 3c | 7,679$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 4c | 6,816$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed Yes | 4c | 6,800$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…4dd9backed Yes | 5c | 6,721$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…60fcbacked Yes | 5c | 6,664$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4225backed Yes | 10c | 6,600$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…c0c4backed Yes | 2c | 6,454$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…c246backed Yes | 5c | 6,129$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…9a97backed Yes | 7c | 5,800$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…4153backed Yes | 5c | 5,746$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 7c | 5,736$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…0461backed Yes | 5c | 5,636$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…e295backed Yes | 2c | 5,586$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…d4dabacked Yes | 6c | 5,400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…f4f6backed Yes | 5c | 5,335$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…f987backed Yes | 4c | 5,310$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 2c | 5,139$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8f6bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,118$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 5,112$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.78 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 4c | 5,054$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…5ac5backed Yes | 6c | 5,054$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…2a4ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac8…1588backed Yes | 5c | 4,758$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…05a4backed Yes | 6c | 4,548$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…efb4backed Yes | 2c | 4,545$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 4c | 4,538$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,530$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe925…bb3abacked Yes | 6c | 4,525$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…e154backed Yes | 2c | 4,465$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…e141backed Yes | 9c | 4,429$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 5c | 4,418$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…d508backed Yes | 2c | 4,383$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…3144backed Yes | 11c | 4,355$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…e917backed Yes | 4c | 4,352$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a00…bcf0backed Yes | 4c | 4,276$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…2ad7backed Yes | 8c | 4,238$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…7a57backed Yes | 7c | 4,228$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…03f2backed Yes | 6c | 4,191$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…5718backed Yes | 5c | 4,158$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…e36ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,081$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,031$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…e3e8backed Yes | 2c | 4,026$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…bb94backed Yes | 3c | 3,935$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895a…affcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,911$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…242cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,908$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…6761backed Yes | 1c | 3,880$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3828…718fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,867$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…d80bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,809$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…51d8backed Yes | 6c | 3,784$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2990…8f9fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,726$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dac…8e8cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,716$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…0c35backed Yes | 6c | 3,612$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,590$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…f715backed Yes | 2c | 3,589$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…65cabacked Yes | 5c | 3,478$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.