World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,251,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,277,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,251,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 0c | 106,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 59c | 93,158$54,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,536.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 43c | 41,682$18,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,633.67 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 4c | 28,399$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.75 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 35c | 27,196$9,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,655.81 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 69c | 24,997$17,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,670.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 21c | 22,515$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…2a6abacked No | 5c | 22,510$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 22,397$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 15c | 20,507$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 19c | 17,424$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.53 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 6c | 15,028$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 35c | 13,310$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…9942backed Yes | 42c | 13,123$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 17c | 13,000$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.27 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…d6e2backed No | 8c | 12,464$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6acabacked No | 57c | 12,289$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…ca11backed No | 63c | 11,200$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,036.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 67c | 10,881$7,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 25c | 10,806$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 10,122$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 4c | 10,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf49…286dbacked No | 19c | 8,613$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 4c | 8,303$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 54c | 8,290$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 4c | 8,118$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes | 43c | 7,727$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 4c | 7,432$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 62c | 7,355$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.82 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 43c | 7,312$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 51c | 7,102$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.51 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 55c | 6,540$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.02 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 6,509$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 15c | 6,333$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 73c | 6,220$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 41c | 6,124$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.43 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 17c | 6,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 62c | 5,995$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.15 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 5,956$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.41 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed No | 68c | 5,700$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 4c | 5,609$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 11c | 5,600$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 33c | 5,592$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 42c | 5,453$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.76 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 64c | 5,073$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.92 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 22c | 5,005$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.37 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 2c | 4,701$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 8c | 4,564$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.27 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 19c | 4,377$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…06c0backed No | 67c | 3,962$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 29c | 3,959$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.8 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 41c | 3,835$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.84 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 58c | 3,419$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…468dbacked No | 32c | 3,297$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 4c | 3,255$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,147$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 40c | 3,081$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed No | 1c | 3,070$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 56c | 2,989$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.69 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 2,909$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,740$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 44c | 2,726$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,700$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,666$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,627$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2a…c1fabacked Yes | 77c | 2,606$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 4c | 2,578$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 17c | 2,500$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.03 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 56c | 2,445$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.55 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…790cbacked No | 14c | 2,400$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,333$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 65c | 2,301$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 4c | 2,269$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked Yes | 31c | 2,252$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e8e0backed No | 61c | 2,252$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 17c | 2,232$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 21c | 2,220$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed No | 2c | 2,206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 55c | 2,113$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 18c | 2,100$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…85d8backed No | 5c | 2,089$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…0690backed No | 5c | 2,018$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 2,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 4c | 1,978$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 15c | 1,958$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…1515backed Yes | 28c | 1,888$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…710abacked No | 3c | 1,877$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 4c | 1,800$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 12c | 1,732$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…7dbabacked No | 58c | 1,712$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…42dbbacked No | 5c | 1,600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed No | 9c | 1,573$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 64c | 1,522$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.02 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 74c | 1,505$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.12 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.