World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4815b9206b324492a71047496aadea8eb20e39b363792a6f8e828643361f5aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,574,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,072 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03c1…3e98backed No | 1c | 57,228$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 79c | 53,663$42,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,234.16 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 10c | 52,727$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.13 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…f02cbacked No | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 24c | 32,177$7,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 31,300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…7a85backed No | 0c | 25,505$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 77c | 22,839$17,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,361.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 75c | 21,131$15,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed No | 23c | 19,093$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…40a8backed No | 0c | 18,320$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 51c | 17,736$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,645.86 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd7…4c73backed Yes | 68c | 17,506$11,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked No | 5c | 16,849$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 3c | 16,572$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.13 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 20c | 15,723$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed No | 78c | 15,463$12,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,063.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 50c | 13,332$6,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.27 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…1775backed No | 2c | 12,936$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 58c | 12,723$7,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.84 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…d6e2backed No | 41c | 12,255$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed Yes | 65c | 11,879$7,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…9942backed Yes | 63c | 11,548$7,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 76c | 11,531$8,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,797.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 20c | 11,492$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,167.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 29cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…1eaabacked No | 0c | 10,880$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…40a3backed Yes | 24c | 10,627$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,118.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…7c8dbacked No | 0c | 10,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 76c | 10,477$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 72c | 10,178$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 76c | 9,791$7,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.94 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 22c | 9,335$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.32 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…9a32backed No | 3c | 9,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 40c | 8,254$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 19c | 8,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 20c | 8,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.81 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 57c | 7,428$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 31c | 6,851$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.18 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 29c | 6,792$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 8c | 6,737$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.77 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed No | 26c | 6,721$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…be32backed No | 33c | 6,634$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 67c | 6,600$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.3 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 19c | 6,397$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.21 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 62c | 6,302$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.81 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 54c | 6,186$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…e64bbacked No | 47c | 6,144$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…6834backed No | 0c | 6,013$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 47c | 6,001$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.34 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…cd31backed No | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…7c9ebacked No | 23c | 5,730$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…3c87backed No | 75c | 5,700$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 56c | 5,366$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…e1b2backed Yes | 79c | 5,350$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed No | 31c | 5,287$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…083dbacked No | 12c | 5,214$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…41a1backed No | 17c | 5,152$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed No | 33c | 4,851$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 4c | 4,800$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…83b5backed No | 28c | 4,698$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 14c | 4,543$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 15c | 4,507$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 77c | 4,295$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 67c | 4,204$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…6a77backed No | 2c | 4,108$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked Yes | 69c | 3,769$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,644$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed No | 80c | 3,639$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 1c | 3,540$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 72c | 3,538$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.19 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…3b44backed No | 1c | 3,198$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 63c | 3,153$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 3,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 26c | 3,092$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.91 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 25c | 3,081$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.38 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…183abacked No | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…4f15backed No | 25c | 2,985$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 17c | 2,971$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 40c | 2,854$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…e3a0backed No | 2c | 2,734$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,716$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.66 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed No | 19c | 2,686$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…a061backed No | 7c | 2,577$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…5a55backed No | 35c | 2,567$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed No | 31c | 2,522$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…baa9backed No | 28c | 2,511$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…df92backed Yes | 80c | 2,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 25c | 2,451$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.9 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 79c | 2,419$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 26c | 2,409$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,400$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 42c | 2,400$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.83 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 68c | 2,343$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.