TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7cc…644e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: F1, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 60 out of 100; worst Commodities at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$279.99
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.41
Big Game - Winning Conference backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.9%+$1,960.08
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$142.6
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.4%+$492.09
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$125
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+134.4%+$859.97
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+103.6%+$1,384.86
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,019.22
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$772.67
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+45.6%+$281.84
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$420
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$985.03
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.6%+$923.27
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$268.58
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$93
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.28
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$232.05
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$257.08
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.82
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,470.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$11.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.93
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,521.73
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,944.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,859.97
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$5,577.84
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,040
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,990
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$481.44
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,085.53
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$370
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$697.77
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,766Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+61.5%+$2,930.91
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$415.76
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,454.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$5,309.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49,824Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$14,679.16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,706.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,233.31
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.56
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,005Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$3,932.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$105.28
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,503.93
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.71
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,354.79
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)backed Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$265.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.62
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+238.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,928.37
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,619Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.3%+$6,027.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$344.95
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$346.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.2%+$30.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,639.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.