NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf56ceb8cc0adfb2d6ad5a111d5beb650e5a8a1941760840c6ac5114f9348bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Chiefs, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,178,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,216,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,178,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 842 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Broncos | 35c | 418,774$145,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273,581.2 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Chiefs | 68c | 323,951$220,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,141 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Chiefs | 65c | 135,436$88,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,033.44 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Chiefs | 52c | 133,492$69,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,007.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Broncos | 33c | 114,098$37,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,288.48 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Broncos | 39c | 85,561$33,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,337.18 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Broncos | 48c | 81,477$39,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,007.94 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chiefs | 66c | 75,000$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,499.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Broncos | 42c | 72,680$30,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,821.71 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Chiefs | 66c | 60,098$39,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,395.49 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Chiefs | 66c | 52,117$34,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,397.22 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Broncos | 33c | 50,354$16,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,634.56 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Chiefs | 65c | 49,526$32,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,192.08 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 33c | 45,590$14,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,721.39 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Broncos | 33c | 43,736$14,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,303.04 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Broncos | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,199.98 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Broncos | 39c | 36,162$14,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,905.78 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Chiefs | 51c | 34,875$17,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,663.88 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Broncos | 34c | 32,612$11,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,523.76 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Broncos | 34c | 30,710$10,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,268.85 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Broncos | 56c | 29,554$16,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,961.06 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Chiefs | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Chiefs | 66c | 25,000$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,599.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Broncos | 51c | 20,396$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,043.3 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…f090backed Chiefs | 64c | 20,000$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chiefs | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Chiefs | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.82 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Broncos | 52c | 19,682$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Broncos | 43c | 19,093$8,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,842.38 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Broncos | 43c | 18,457$8,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,429.84 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Chiefs | 66c | 18,258$12,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,069.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Chiefs | 67c | 17,777$11,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,910.59 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 58c | 16,845$9,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,031.02 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Broncos | 45c | 15,836$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,698.74 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…1ffdbacked Chiefs | 66c | 15,161$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Chiefs | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Chiefs | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Broncos | 48c | 13,975$6,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,262.89 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 33c | 13,500$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Chiefs | 66c | 13,300$8,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,777.97 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Chiefs | 65c | 11,713$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,596.57 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chiefs | 47c | 11,346$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.56 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Broncos | 34c | 11,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.98 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Broncos | 35c | 10,876$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.41 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Broncos | 69c | 10,607$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Broncos | 37c | 10,509$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.39 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Chiefs | 67c | 10,490$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.57 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 57c | 10,388$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.14 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Broncos | 37c | 10,187$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,417.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chiefs | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Broncos | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chiefs | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.97 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Broncos | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.94 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Broncos | 35c | 9,751$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 32c | 9,603$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,540.87 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Chiefs | 62c | 9,570$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Broncos | 48c | 9,451$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.28 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Chiefs | 67c | 9,191$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118.18 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chiefs | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Chiefs | 66c | 8,958$5,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,903.02 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Chiefs | 65c | 8,896$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Broncos | 33c | 8,730$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.09 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Broncos | 37c | 8,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs | 67c | 8,026$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.42 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Chiefs | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.9 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Broncos | 45c | 7,565$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.22 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Chiefs | 57c | 7,547$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.39 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Chiefs | 42c | 7,421$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.4 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Broncos | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.94 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Broncos | 34c | 7,058$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.57 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Broncos | 42c | 6,840$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.17 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chiefs | 67c | 6,820$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.39 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Broncos | 32c | 6,465$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.98 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Broncos | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.61 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Broncos | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.94 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Broncos | 45c | 5,961$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.84 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Broncos | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Broncos | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos | 33c | 5,555$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.7 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Chiefs | 67c | 5,219$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.5 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chiefs | 65c | 5,198$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.83 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Chiefs | 60c | 4,966$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Broncos | 32c | 4,680$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.4 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Broncos | 73c | 4,436$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.52 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 50c | 3,984$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.21 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Broncos | 36c | 3,955$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chiefs | 50c | 3,750$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.25 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Broncos | 33c | 3,744$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.18 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Chiefs | 66c | 3,615$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.23 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Chiefs | 65c | 3,382$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.29 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Chiefs | 60c | 3,360$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Chiefs | 65c | 3,108$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Broncos | 33c | 3,100$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Chiefs | 59c | 3,100$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Chiefs | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Chiefs | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Broncos | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Broncos | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Broncos | 35c | 2,996$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.53 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chiefs vs. Broncosthis page
- Chiefs Parlay - Chiefs win, Mahomes 225+ passing yards, Kelce 40+ receiving yardsNo won
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Under won
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5Under won
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.