TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5fea…1acc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 63 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+78.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.41
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.85
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$361.03
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$583.71
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$537.69
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$707
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+754.7%+$450.78
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.1
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+227%+$1,200.97
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$136.9
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$592.61
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$628.24
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$436
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$323.51
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$263.94
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+474.3%+$877.5
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$483.54
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+176.8%+$265.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$623.18
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$231.64
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+99.7%+$2,989.71
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$695.47
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+203.2%+$507.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$550
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,272
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$369.86
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.28
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+223.8%+$745.12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$2,090.74
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$272.25
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$3,518
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$10,833.34
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,635Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$4,997.11
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$155.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.