Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b8af7c709f72f7f25590e3acef1ff517583fa22f48906b2a8218ff649dbc64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Auger-Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 3,133$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.32 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 37c | 3,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 1,572$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Cobolli | 37c | 1,560$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.6 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 1,012$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Cobolli | 36c | 833.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 760$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Cobolli | 38c | 578.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.38 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cobolli | 34c | 322.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cobolli | 35c | 276.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 269.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cobolli | 39c | 206.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cobolli | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cobolli | 28c | 147.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Cobolli | 38c | 139.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…8977backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 119.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…ced8backed Auger-Aliassime | 67c | 119.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cobolli | 45c | 105.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Cobolli | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Cobolli | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Cobolli | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cobolli | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 94.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 87.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 78.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cobolli | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Cobolli | 39c | 53.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Cobolli | 31c | 36.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 34.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 34.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 21.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs CobolliAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.