TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobolli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0ac…7deebacked Auger-Aliassime58c4,138$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.4432353.6%173 W · 150 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Auger-Aliassime48c2,078$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.8732737.3%122 W · 205 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cobolli29c1,789$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.244,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Auger-Aliassime53c1,746$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.71,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Cobolli51c1,739$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.5331234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Cobolli52c1,630$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.3422842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Auger-Aliassime48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.51,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed Cobolli2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+117.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Cobolli2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302339.1%9 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick17cpaid+100.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked Cobolli2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick16cpaid+110.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Cobolli2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Cobolli6c1,194$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3917617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Auger-Aliassime33c1,024$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7238033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli52c1,000$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.839,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Cobolli4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Cobolli52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52019146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Cobolli53c926.3$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Cobolli54c919.96$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Cobolli53c833.53$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.039642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Cobolli72c799.99$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9974343.7%325 W · 418 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Cobolli48c723.59$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.3236557.5%210 W · 155 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff8…5fd6backed Cobolli51c721.57$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.572630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auger-Aliassime54c667.4$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.856,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Cobolli53c555.57$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.212125.6%31 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Auger-Aliassime38c532.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0817038.8%66 W · 104 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli58c499.66$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.114,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a2…8613backed Cobolli64c477.75$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.526550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Cobolli44c439.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3513928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Cobolli52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.45648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Auger-Aliassime59c390.23$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.743951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7538…6ca6backed Auger-Aliassime52c376.9$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Auger-Aliassime52c365.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.381,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Auger-Aliassime51c363.92$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.478845.5%40 W · 48 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Auger-Aliassime50c355.65$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.652254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Cobolli48c340.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6415928.9%46 W · 113 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Cobolli52c325.83$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4314245.8%65 W · 77 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Auger-Aliassime52c300.94$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4535730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Auger-Aliassime44c300$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.257032.9%23 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime48c276.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.326,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Cobolli6c275.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0815632.1%50 W · 106 L+16.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Cobolli57c270.18$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Cobolli55c239.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9430544.9%137 W · 168 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Auger-Aliassime49c233$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8330436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Auger-Aliassime74c224.71$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.077,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Auger-Aliassime58c224.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3121641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Cobolli54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Auger-Aliassime45c219.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.115046%69 W · 81 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Auger-Aliassime62c215.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1636757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Auger-Aliassime48c189.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5821651.4%111 W · 105 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed Auger-Aliassime52c183.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.874738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Auger-Aliassime35c170.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.833,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Auger-Aliassime65c169.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2386470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…aaeebacked Auger-Aliassime56c163.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli48c161.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.777,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Cobolli44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037336.5%136 W · 237 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed Cobolli56c158.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5210546.7%49 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2534…3484backed Auger-Aliassime42c153.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.092661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cobolli51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7614933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Auger-Aliassime71c148$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.722,11156.1%1,184 W · 927 L+42.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…ced8backed Auger-Aliassime52c143.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.661546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Auger-Aliassime45c138.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.125,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Auger-Aliassime31c130.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2521524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Auger-Aliassime36c128$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.924957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Auger-Aliassime49c110.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Auger-Aliassime49c102.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.211426.3%30 W · 84 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Auger-Aliassime51c101.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.968250%41 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab6…cfafbacked Auger-Aliassime75c97.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45ea…e966backed Cobolli49c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Auger-Aliassime49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.815956%89 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Auger-Aliassime45c75.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.562,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Auger-Aliassime42c74.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.293,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Cobolli47c69.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.863052.7%332 W · 298 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Cobolli76c69.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8414262.7%89 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Auger-Aliassime48c64.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b4…87bfbacked Cobolli51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e1f…7661backed Cobolli49c58.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5523352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a35…13edbacked Auger-Aliassime28c50.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.361435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Cobolli51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6958745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Cobolli52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cobolli45c47.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Auger-Aliassime47c43.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.066,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a9…c54bbacked Auger-Aliassime49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c43…4d03backed Cobolli44c38.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Cobolli47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Auger-Aliassime65c32.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2792138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Auger-Aliassime48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2584640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cobolli63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Auger-Aliassime49c28.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.342,39950.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L+76.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Auger-Aliassime52c28.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4715654.5%85 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Auger-Aliassime45c28.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.491,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cobolli67c27.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Auger-Aliassime50c25.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.619948.2%96 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Auger-Aliassime47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Auger-Aliassime51c24.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Cobolli49c23.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5482847.3%392 W · 436 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Auger-Aliassime52c20.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.653740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Auger-Aliassime62c18.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.919447.9%45 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.