TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02e0…3741

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT16349.1%80 W · 83 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.7
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.79
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.97
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$104.01
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.95
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.72
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$130.34
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$78.65
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$93.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.39
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.83
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.76
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$61.77
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$172.5
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+76%+$68.39
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$80.83
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.94
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.76
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$103.74
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.14
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.51
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.29
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobollibacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.83
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gillbacked Ugo Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$37.45
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$114.5
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.67
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.83
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$157.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.