TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof Chicago White Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$853,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$930,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $853,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Tampa Bay Rays59c371,935$218,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,220.974040%16 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Chicago White Sox40c196,438$78,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,569.5685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox41c81,668$33,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,605.5610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago White Sox39c78,827$30,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,742.5446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c57,776$35,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,465.971,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox40c55,693$22,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,038.482,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Tampa Bay Rays61c52,218$31,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,365.1215451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox38c29,794$11,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,432.9211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox46c22,261$10,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,33243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93a…877dbacked Chicago White Sox39c21,164$8,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,25410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox33c19,677$6,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,491.124,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays61c11,474$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,474.771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays68c6,704$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.2995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays72c6,570$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.660043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox30c5,007$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.4279442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago White Sox40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x075d…58c1backed Tampa Bay Rays61c4,590$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Tampa Bay Rays61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6919453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox40c3,026$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.262,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays60c2,840$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.983,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox42c2,327$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.114,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92037032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Chicago White Sox39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78017150.3%86 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Chicago White Sox20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015849.4%78 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Tampa Bay Rays80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011464%73 W · 41 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Chicago White Sox27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Tampa Bay Rays57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.399644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox39c1,641$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.991,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Tampa Bay Rays61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.346749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Chicago White Sox40c1,628$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Tampa Bay Rays64c1,527$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.921242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Chicago White Sox17c1,455$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8530529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox26c1,389$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.922,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox43c1,300$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.641,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays63c1,228$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.29,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays72c1,202$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.662,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays54c1,108$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.498,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays60c1,097$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.218,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Tampa Bay Rays67c1,059$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.994761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.051,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Chicago White Sox43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4306556.9%37 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2bd…7776backed Chicago White Sox39c921.27$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.31442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox27c874.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.043,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Chicago White Sox40c852.13$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.854250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Chicago White Sox40c822.5$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3295350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays60c821.65$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.1812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Tampa Bay Rays61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.677160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago White Sox31c808.78$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0424252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c785.18$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2217961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff03…2a65backed Chicago White Sox19c774.95$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…9671backed Tampa Bay Rays78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.233778.4%29 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Chicago White Sox29c744.9$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4525447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Chicago White Sox41c700$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28527451.8%142 W · 132 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c678.74$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.861,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago White Sox20c585.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Tampa Bay Rays61c575$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.256866.2%45 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Tampa Bay Rays62c560$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.817348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Chicago White Sox41c530.43$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.481216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Chicago White Sox39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19519534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Chicago White Sox39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19513848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox39c498.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.837857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eca…cfccbacked Chicago White Sox40c487.5$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox37c475.79$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.98,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox37c468.57$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.371,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Tampa Bay Rays55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5518151.9%94 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Chicago White Sox34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022055.5%122 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Chicago White Sox23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Tampa Bay Rays61c426.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2327357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays64c421.34$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.125,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago White Sox31c407.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5360348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox40c385.48$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1989153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ad…b33bbacked Chicago White Sox42c382.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8311969.7%83 W · 36 L+18.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Chicago White Sox40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Chicago White Sox40c355.3$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.126142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays61c354.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3948147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78eb…9a2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c344.26$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.266758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tampa Bay Rays58c333.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3852053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.878647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Tampa Bay Rays60c325.73$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2915749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed Chicago White Sox13c315.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tampa Bay Rays57c309.65$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1534550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a29…25a8backed Tampa Bay Rays60c308.9$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Chicago White Sox23c305.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Chicago White Sox40c300.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021343.2%92 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12cc…3587backed Tampa Bay Rays61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174955.1%27 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a41…d286backed Tampa Bay Rays61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Tampa Bay Rays61c295$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.057456.8%42 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7414…8c11backed Tampa Bay Rays65c290.83$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Tampa Bay Rays69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863873.7%28 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…d16ebacked Chicago White Sox7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Tampa Bay Rays61c270$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.37360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago White Sox39c268$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.521,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Chicago White Sox40c265.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Tampa Bay Rays77c258$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.341,10079.6%876 W · 224 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Chicago White Sox40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Tampa Bay Rays61c241.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2958060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago White Sox33c235.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9525248.8%123 W · 129 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.