TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f26…c83b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
507
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.44
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$640.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$600.11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$196.98
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.43
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.13
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.95
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.32
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$324.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$124.85
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$68.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$417.64
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$432.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$68.64
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$49.32
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$274.57
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$60.25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.49
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10234.3%35 W · 67 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$294.75
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$50.76
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.32
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$84.39
Winston-Salem Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.28
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Philadelphia: Cody Wong vs Katie Volynetsbacked Cody Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Asschebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$124.5
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$267.62
Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Patrick Bradybacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.76
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Sion: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Raphael Perotbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensikbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.35
Cincinnati Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.52
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$160.74
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.63
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinkabacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.99
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.98
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$231.63
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.99
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,323
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,943.06
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$404.58
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$280
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.33
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.99
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.99
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.24
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.08
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$159.59
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.83
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$314.67
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.74
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.84
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.18
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$484.1
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$208.76
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.13
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.93
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.44
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$227.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$406.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$193.07
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.64
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.99
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$222.22
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$149.88
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.97
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$407.88
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.33
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$178.43
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$532
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$74.28
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$184.97
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.9
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.68
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.99
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.44
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.2
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$223.77
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.69
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+203%+$262.05
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$449.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100%+$212
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Lanús vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$32.31
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.39
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$59.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.72
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$299.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emiratesbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$85.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$289.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$199.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$220.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$162.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$196.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.