TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x987c…cd13backed No59c10,574$6,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed No60c9,948$5,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes41c9,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.962853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No62c5,261$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No71c5,050$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c4,504$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.3348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6407549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c3,969$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.4787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes20c3,674$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.72133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes49c3,372$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.531250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c3,256$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.322745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Yes33c3,029$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No60c2,971$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.355763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No51c2,914$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes38c2,819$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6212738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c2,794$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.5812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No58c2,471$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed No74c2,460$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No61c2,449$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.522317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes42c2,002$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.722138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No72c1,867$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes40c1,502$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No61c1,462$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.756100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed No62c1,446$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes16c1,432$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.181353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes22c1,306$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes34c1,281$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c1,193$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No64c1,100$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No69c1,093$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.371675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes49c1,054$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes39c1,046$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c1,002$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.811,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes39c898.76$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No58c875.54$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.732751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes35c858.5$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes49c847.14$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No62c833.68$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.39553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No63c787.34$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c779.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01a2…d77ebacked Yes37c747.98$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe43c…80e6backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No78c711.48$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.513354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c665.78$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6510640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes38c632.71$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c608.57$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0212647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes42c594.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7333148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes38c581.24$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed No60c580.6$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No58c576.35$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.464742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes43c573.67$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.684341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed No62c566$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.084450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes41c540.8$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes25c519.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes34c496.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…d606backed Yes40c496.31$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fa…dda8backed No57c466.41$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127b…ac34backed Yes38c460.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes16c433.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.594050%20 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes27c420.68$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f54…74b4backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes37c394.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.935040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes39c385$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Yes37c383.38$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed No58c379.31$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes41c365$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.651650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes39c338.46$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes38c325.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.761811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes43c320.94$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8950%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No61c316$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.241275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No66c303.89$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes37c302$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.748143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf953…156cbacked No57c282.34$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No61c279.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.656443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c272$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes38c270$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.32429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Yes38c256.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes23c256.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.034837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Yes42c254.45$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa821…fc46backed Yes27c250.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes36c236.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.993627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Yes59c223.23$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No63c221.54$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.972152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes43c219.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.