TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No52c5,441$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.2822745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c5,248$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.3152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes30c3,713$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No59c2,445$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c2,310$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.941,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes28c1,440$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.842138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes64c1,094$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes30c1,062$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.441921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a1…9b15backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes64c938.36$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.872259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c935.28$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes32c800$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No70c749.96$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.974742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x987c…cd13backed No72c737.16$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes39c727.83$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Yes66c704.6$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No15c700.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1311916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No46c700$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes30c700$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes34c591.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.573540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes46c518.12$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No43c509.53$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.114837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes30c484$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed No53c430.19$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes34c427.68$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.687343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes37c408.65$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes32c351$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.345763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes32c351$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3412963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No43c346.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.295955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Yes30c337$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes30c332.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.588247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes45c307$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.851838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed No71c304.85$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c304$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8412738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes78c283.02$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes45c263.33$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No73c241.97$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes38c220$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No39c187.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8114352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No71c183.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes56c177.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3612367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No42c174.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7515951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c174.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No36c157.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1750%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No14c151.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.163354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Yes72c137.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+100.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab77…be6abacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes51c123.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d43…43a7backed No43c123.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes34c110.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes57c105.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes42c103.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89f…583ebacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542969%20 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e64…9cb7backed Yes31c92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes37c89.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.191747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes64c77.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes27c74.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.061241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Yes53c67.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No73c65.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes30c63.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.292133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Yes72c59.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe449…1641backed Yes28c58.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+85.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf558…3c42backed No67c47.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes46c43.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes55c43.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No71c43.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd88…2871backed No70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa409…82bdbacked No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ad…b70cbacked No73c33.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked No38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed No66c29.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a2…77a9backed Yes54c29.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…cfa3backed No73c25.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked No67c24.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+95%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No71c22.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8340…b29bbacked No71c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e4…e173backed Yes74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c1…62babacked No74c19.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed No60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-79.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No72c15.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…7d46backed No71c15.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.