TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa89f…583e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$88.64
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.9
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.16
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will El Salvador win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.83
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Haiti vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+273.2%+$90.03
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+70.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$720
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.36
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$377.77
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$213.18
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$99.42
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$203.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+35%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
ITF Focsani: Simona Ogescu vs Alexia-Shara Iancubacked Alexia-Shara Iancu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$49.34
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.94
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.