Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0c7cae424ce6ffbf9182c44f4d02ceb0de4610bc864a956e790ca1aafee644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9439…5122backed Yes | 17c | 21,135$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 18c | 9,639$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.07 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 16c | 8,979$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.09 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 6,723$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 5,929$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 10c | 3,934$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.4 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 3,344$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.08 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 26c | 3,216$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.08 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 73c | 1,899$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.66 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 16c | 1,890$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.27 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,335$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2868backed Yes | 18c | 1,091$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 17c | 931.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Yes | 19c | 919.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 865$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…02fcbacked Yes | 18c | 836$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…453fbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 2c | 589.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 453.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 16c | 412.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 20c | 404.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 16c | 377.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 365$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1b9bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 301.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 261.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 20c | 253$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 242.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Yes | 17c | 220.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 16c | 185.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…abc4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…399ebacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yes | 17c | 122.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3f…62eebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…dc23backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 28c | 99.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 79.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked Yes | 16c | 70.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 67.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…ff99backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…583ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…dce0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 236 | 33.9%80 W · 156 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…9c25backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…33d9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 19c | 58.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 43.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Yes | 28c | 36.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 79c | 23.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 75c | 18.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw?this page
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?Yes won
- Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.