TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes76c43,513$33,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,492.294663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c16,633$5,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,228.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c14,560$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,940.1142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c10,823$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No3c8,660$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7130117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9439…5122backed No27c8,471$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bab…e6a2backed Yes74c5,630$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.424168.3%28 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes72c5,348$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.342,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No27c4,575$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes75c4,442$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.89242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5817748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes73c3,814$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.6176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes78c3,782$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.051844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No15c3,443$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5117513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No23c2,035$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No16c1,907$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes71c1,827$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2628162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed No23c1,703$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006535.4%23 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes66c1,673$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.2641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes74c1,559$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.082,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes70c1,544$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.8139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No12c1,506$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7311238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9945421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No46c1,422$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4720560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.899454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No24c1,300$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.91,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No24c1,270$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.559230.4%28 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No32c1,251$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4721946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No39c1,213$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.7493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28822041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes75c1,120$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6624448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed No22c1,105$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.11838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes77c1,055$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3411761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32023743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No24c999.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes72c958.03$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No26c925.54$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.481,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No23c890.56$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes68c845.07$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes68c845.07$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4235549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No25c834.04$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes78c818.35$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8113847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c813.58$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.921,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No26c803.82$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9910748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes77c803.56$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed No27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c715$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7310366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes75c665.08$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.932,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No22c627.9$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.142347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes77c623.38$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3816131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No29c613.75$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes74c601.18$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.313488.2%30 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+31%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Yes74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed No8c567.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1719935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7101…884bbacked No24c560$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-79.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes68c544.35$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No30c543.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16326155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes51c541.09$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.911,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.544257.1%24 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed No26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No23c499.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9923540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No4c480$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6319818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No34c474.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No52c471.5$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2716150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes75c428.89$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.363,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked Yes77c427.6$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.353366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes74c424.6$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Yes65c417.21$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.023125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed No24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No24c401.49$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.631,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Yes76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7410142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes69c384$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No26c367$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4213643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No23c361.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7765651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes70c360.22$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.132556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes74c356.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.563,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb8…6c02backed Yes77c351.42$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.982070%14 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes71c350.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6623951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes77c348$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes77c346.96$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.962462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes76c346.95$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.022,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0417…9248backed Yes57c345.19$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.271877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c340$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed Yes74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.844883.3%40 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes76c331.18$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No10c328$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.181,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes68c326.47$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.479269.6%64 W · 28 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No25c325.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.321850%9 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes70c317.8$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0368141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No24c312.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9163035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Yes48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No25c305.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.427634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c294$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes71c280.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0622343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes77c270.56$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.236839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.