TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9439…5122backed Yes10c21,883$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes1c11,280$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Yes3c9,046$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes2c8,145$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9114715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes8c7,735$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes4c7,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes8c5,971$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.8938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes4c5,387$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes8c4,668$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4840239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes8c4,475$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes10c4,300$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4138258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes10c3,047$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c9…ee41backed Yes8c2,532$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.412334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008847.7%42 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3bf…a509backed Yes5c2,396$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.011915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…02fcbacked Yes10c2,270$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes7c1,993$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5442710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes24c1,914$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8420560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes7c1,625$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62f…b2fabacked Yes2c1,336$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1456…8885backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc25a…04dfbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes8c1,187$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes4c1,173$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5224533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes8c1,032$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.471,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes8c999.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes9c914.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9119935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes5c815$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.510728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c723.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes16c639.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5836634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd20a…f546backed Yes9c626.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.391421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898e…b120backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No79c598$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes17c510.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ca4cbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022026.4%58 W · 162 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010350.5%52 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed Yes8c485.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.45425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes11c404.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.824540%18 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes26c391.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7513345.1%60 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a2…f117backed Yes11c372.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Yes10c369.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Yes9c282$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes8c265$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked Yes29c259.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb240…9806backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Yes5c213.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204017.5%7 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb458…abc4backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203112.9%4 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a31…dc23backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c175$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9627745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ed…256cbacked Yes14c163.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c155.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes9c155.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Yes9c153.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8129636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Yes8c149.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.988445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…8a7ebacked Yes8c146.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a60…2889backed Yes8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69625%24 W · 72 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x523a…60b0backed Yes8c138.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes18c138.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.753327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes8c136$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8826631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bf…db0abacked Yes8c134.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes9c132$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5827767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes8c126.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860a…3323backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa25…800bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f92…520fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-75.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x968b…726fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes10c110.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2628326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dc…f68fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe340…3adcbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205625%14 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No67c76.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.022,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No73c76.3$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2457541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No78c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Yes25c43.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed No80c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104124.4%10 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No69c35.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9313745.3%62 W · 75 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae66…30a0backed Yes31c35.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No69c30.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2937950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.