TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2c5…b9b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+493.5%+$121
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$105.37
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.93
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.09
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$684.21
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.33
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$97.55
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.5
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,772.34
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33%+$26.38
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$27.56
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.95
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.73
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+73%+$113.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$1,015.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$918.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+82%+$225.08
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.44
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.19
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$71.42
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$115.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.91
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,311.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$389.24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$121.71
All 25 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26%+$5.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$4.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$19.34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$51.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101.66
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+106.8%+$79.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.2%+$5.31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.1%+$16.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.82
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.4%+$8.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+27%+$16.94
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.3%+$4.36
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26%+$16.16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.87
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.3%+$3.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.2%+$120.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$9.29
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$124.06
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.13
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.18
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$65.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$66.99
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+73.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.