Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2578344b0d01272528e8832307880210bfea757859ca81e46c3b38971661af09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,443,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,743,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,443,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 51c | 482,361$245,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,653.96 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Yandex | 49c | 158,113$77,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,637.42 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 52c | 125,097$65,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,697.5 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 70,000$34,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,700 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 54c | 37,500$20,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,313.1 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora | 41c | 36,970$15,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,190.89 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Yandex | 50c | 33,783$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,032.78 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 51c | 31,804$16,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,190.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 52c | 25,092$12,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,997.69 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Yandex | 48c | 24,948$11,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,975.54 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Yandex | 50c | 18,757$9,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,384.36 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 43c | 17,355$7,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.49 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Team Yandex | 49c | 17,291$8,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,818.31 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex | 52c | 16,792$8,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,103.06 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Yandex | 48c | 15,963$7,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,257.04 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 47c | 12,800$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.97 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 10,100$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.09 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex | 55c | 9,927$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.35 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 9,907$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.82 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 45c | 9,239$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.69 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 47c | 8,978$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.32 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Yandex | 49c | 8,902$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.6 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 47c | 8,836$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.07 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex | 48c | 8,432$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.13 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Yandex | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 25c | 5,435$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.12 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…a3e6backed Team Yandex | 75c | 5,363$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 25c | 5,000$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.83 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 41c | 4,800$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 39c | 4,702$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.36 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 42c | 4,680$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.42 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Team Yandex | 49c | 4,620$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 50c | 4,422$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.43 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 71c | 4,327$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.19 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Aurora | 33c | 4,272$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 48c | 4,169$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 45c | 3,790$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.28 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,770$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.9 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,763$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Yandex | 57c | 3,538$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.68 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 3,531$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.3 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Yandex | 52c | 3,500$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.29 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Aurora | 34c | 3,392$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.77 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…bd1ebacked Aurora | 41c | 3,348$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.2 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 47c | 3,326$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 53c | 3,194$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora | 49c | 3,110$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.74 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Aurora | 48c | 3,089$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.81 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Yandex | 48c | 2,926$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.51 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 48c | 2,838$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.87 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked Aurora | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,688$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.13 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,671$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.82 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 2,564$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.38 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 52c | 2,497$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.44 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,412$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.16 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 49c | 2,328$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.33 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 51c | 2,250$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.73 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 2,230$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.75 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Team Yandex | 55c | 2,215$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 41c | 2,186$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.5 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 30c | 2,163$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.56 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 40c | 2,150$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.57 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Yandex | 61c | 2,114$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.64 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Aurora | 48c | 2,083$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.64 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Yandex | 53c | 2,029$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.44 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,020$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.41 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…1a3ebacked Aurora | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 1,985$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.62 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,922$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.96 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,877$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.46 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora | 35c | 1,827$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.88 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,800$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.13 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,772$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.42 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Aurora | 24c | 1,767$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.04 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,720$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.99 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,673$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Aurora | 24c | 1,646$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 1,645$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.72 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Aurora | 10c | 1,604$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,588$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.39 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 49c | 1,538$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.27 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Aurora | 55c | 1,535$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.03 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…ace5backed Team Yandex | 47c | 1,500$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.01 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 31c | 1,462$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.58 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,396$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.92 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0487…33bdbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…71f6backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Aurora | 18c | 1,315$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,313$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Yandex | 48c | 1,290$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.77 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 48c | 1,272$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.54 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Aurora | 49c | 1,250$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.