Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x442cd818d0463d943f17631bdd337a55c774c38e48b7d20fea77597eb05dbced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,287,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,370,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,287,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Aurora | 0c | 424,782$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.47 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 52c | 124,195$65,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,167.84 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 51c | 97,538$49,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,426.45 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 51c | 34,186$17,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,444.87 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 32,960$18,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,052.38 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aurora | 42c | 26,735$11,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,357.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 51c | 20,000$10,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,274.97 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 46c | 17,289$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.02 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Yandex | 56c | 15,733$8,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.74 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 70c | 15,415$10,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,734.47 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 45c | 15,319$6,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,941.17 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Yandex | 49c | 15,060$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.54 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 46c | 13,087$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.89 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex | 37c | 12,845$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.4 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 44c | 12,361$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.97 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Yandex | 48c | 11,138$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.52 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 11,130$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.19 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 9,500$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.44 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 8,903$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.36 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 48c | 8,746$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 7,980$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.67 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 7,378$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.04 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 28c | 7,009$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.43 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 44c | 6,982$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.16 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 34c | 6,484$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.4 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Team Yandex | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 46c | 6,320$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.42 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Yandex | 49c | 6,193$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.43 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 5,961$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 57c | 5,594$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Aurora | 72c | 4,964$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.28 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 45c | 4,941$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.95 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Yandex | 21c | 4,705$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.56 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 43c | 4,596$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.83 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 4,453$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.8 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 66c | 4,404$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.4 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 46c | 4,300$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Yandex | 42c | 4,272$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.09 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora | 47c | 3,497$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.07 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Team Yandex | 48c | 3,307$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Yandex | 49c | 3,204$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Yandex | 49c | 3,161$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.02 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Yandex | 44c | 3,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,955$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Aurora | 69c | 2,861$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.11 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 2,854$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.08 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 41c | 2,800$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 2,785$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,747$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.09 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Yandex | 37c | 2,696$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.19 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 2,589$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.36 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Yandex | 52c | 2,560$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex | 56c | 2,536$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.77 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 61c | 2,520$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.34 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,435$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.41 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Yandex | 43c | 2,370$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.34 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 75c | 2,338$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.49 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Yandex | 47c | 2,306$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.18 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 2,163$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.42 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Aurora | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,104$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.06 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,043$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,019$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.48 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 2,000$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 57c | 1,970$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.6 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Yandex | 20c | 1,938$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.15 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,864$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.64 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed Aurora | 71c | 1,821$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Aurora | 1c | 1,821$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 43c | 1,818$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 53c | 1,814$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.55 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Aurora | 43c | 1,808$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.44 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 45c | 1,770$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.67 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 33c | 1,700$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 30c | 1,684$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 32c | 1,669$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.19 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,571$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.19 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Yandex | 13c | 1,524$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.51 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,512$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.41 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.01 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex | 28c | 1,477$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.01 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,473$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.93 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.56 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 1,418$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.87 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,382$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.68 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Yandex | 26c | 1,315$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.42 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora | 56c | 1,302$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Aurora | 40c | 1,291$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…bd1ebacked Team Yandex | 28c | 1,286$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.71 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.