Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba328ca838caedcc5a0a8805cd36df675dabfcb0bf4f63e2888db62b38129a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 54c | 62,863$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,663.15 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 46c | 44,699$20,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,614.32 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 55c | 25,358$13,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,462.69 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…30a7backed Aurora | 0c | 25,230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Team Yandex | 68c | 23,062$15,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,342.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…1137backed Aurora | 46c | 21,178$9,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,806.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aurora | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Team Yandex | 56c | 16,093$9,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080.7 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 15,000$8,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.98 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 48c | 10,000$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.08 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Aurora | 45c | 7,525$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.19 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Aurora | 33c | 6,543$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a8…ba97backed Aurora | 20c | 5,390$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Aurora | 45c | 5,226$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Aurora | 49c | 5,113$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 4,923$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.7 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aurora | 36c | 4,765$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.21 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 4,500$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Aurora | 24c | 4,110$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.4 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 41c | 3,979$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.11 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora | 44c | 3,949$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.57 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,706$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…4790backed Aurora | 44c | 3,680$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Yandex | 56c | 3,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.97 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Yandex | 54c | 3,524$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.91 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Aurora | 45c | 3,438$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 3,334$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.98 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora | 47c | 3,140$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.28 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora | 14c | 3,102$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Aurora | 25c | 2,819$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,782$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex | 74c | 2,479$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.56 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 46c | 2,279$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.38 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 45c | 2,225$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 2,198$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed Aurora | 46c | 2,158$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Aurora | 45c | 2,093$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Yandex | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,981$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.52 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora | 46c | 1,960$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,949$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,874$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…1a3ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 1,839$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 43c | 1,781$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.27 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 33c | 1,766$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora | 17c | 1,755$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,750$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,731$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.34 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 44c | 1,700$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 36c | 1,614$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Aurora | 33c | 1,604$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.25 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Aurora | 25c | 1,577$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 1,504$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.98 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Aurora | 19c | 1,500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +320.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.97 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,469$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.45 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 23c | 1,452$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Aurora | 45c | 1,422$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…cde4backed Aurora | 26c | 1,417$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Aurora | 38c | 1,377$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,345$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.58 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,317$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,311$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.95 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 27c | 1,282$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Team Yandex | 70c | 1,266$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.05 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Aurora | 45c | 1,265$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.32 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 1,261$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 1,255$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 45c | 1,217$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.51 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…dc6dbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 1,210$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Team Yandex | 54c | 1,210$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.66 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aurora | 25c | 1,209$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Aurora | 46c | 1,192$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.32 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Aurora | 39c | 1,168$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.68 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Team Yandex | 75c | 1,140$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,126$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.49 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,105$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.35 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Aurora | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Aurora | 45c | 1,080$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,076$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Aurora | 20c | 1,051$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,033$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.85 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 23c | 1,033$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,010$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.39 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aurora | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 46c | 989.7$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.26 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Aurora | 29c | 976.62$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Aurora | 46c | 975$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.84 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Aurora | 16c | 948.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 46c | 947.53$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.86 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Yandex | 54c | 923.14$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Aurora | 48c | 835.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…60f7backed Aurora | 45c | 819.86$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.