TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaccb…61dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.64
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$74.79
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$5,984.92
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,010.14
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$7,986.95
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$4,899.98
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,683Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,897.53
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+99.6%+$5,277.49
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,638.85
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,828Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$3,828.1
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,697Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$4,697.15
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,281.26
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$94.9
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$852.69
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$235.61
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,059Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$4,397.25
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,417.56
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,175.71
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$972.94
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,671Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,260.94
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,910.55
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$373.44
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,771.18
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,839
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$559.36
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$177.55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$590.76
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$154.03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$7,011.86
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$155.06
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.1
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Abacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$646.09
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.44
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$272.7
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO5) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffsbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$516.08
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$155.89
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$309.58
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Abacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$209.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$5,836.11
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,663.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6,509.66
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,271.74
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,917.43
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$665.39
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12,026.67
LoL: Crusaders vs Periquitos Zangados (BO3) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Periquitos Zangados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$412.15
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$405
LoL: BRUTE vs NightBirds (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,677.12
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$599.94
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,107.07
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+155.1%+$409.54
Game Handicap: ESB (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)backed Priority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,667.61
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,014Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$2,460.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,113.04
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,858Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,715.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.