NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe31da0bdd1b82d0143ba428a47b1dd439cf4480df51f24e1f38670c0833b4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ef0…62fdbacked Warriors | 56c | 73,849$41,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,493.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Warriors | 56c | 12,685$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.26 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Warriors | 57c | 7,895$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.74 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 5,774$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,363$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…47bcbacked Warriors | 56c | 4,430$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69af…f6d1backed Warriors | 56c | 3,596$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Grizzlies | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 56c | 2,980$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,932$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.94 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…8b21backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,893$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…a35cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,856$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…1ababacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,847$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…9be5backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,828$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…a980backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,778$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…7eecbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,732$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e8…e36cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,689$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…53e4backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,632$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…969ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,577$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bda5backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,543$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…9f99backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,475$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…28a5backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,438$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6e…95c7backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,391$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,377$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…7776backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,373$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…d75ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,338$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…d60ebacked Warriors | 56c | 2,317$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b19…8f67backed Warriors | 56c | 2,286$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df4…2f9bbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,284$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…a069backed Warriors | 56c | 2,279$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…4ec1backed Warriors | 56c | 2,271$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…13c8backed Warriors | 56c | 2,254$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 40c | 2,245$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…17cdbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,238$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…eea8backed Warriors | 56c | 2,198$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…ba43backed Warriors | 56c | 2,180$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…99eabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,163$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…829cbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,148$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb3…ab8dbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,148$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 55c | 2,133$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…d2d0backed Warriors | 56c | 2,133$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…8736backed Warriors | 56c | 2,127$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…a091backed Warriors | 56c | 2,108$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…886dbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,103$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…f049backed Warriors | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…d512backed Warriors | 56c | 2,097$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…97eabacked Warriors | 56c | 2,079$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…95e9backed Warriors | 56c | 2,075$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…04eebacked Warriors | 56c | 2,069$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…e5d6backed Warriors | 56c | 2,063$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…ad65backed Warriors | 56c | 2,061$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…7302backed Warriors | 56c | 2,060$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…932bbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,059$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6c11backed Warriors | 56c | 2,049$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…a1bfbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,047$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…74a2backed Warriors | 56c | 2,039$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…0011backed Warriors | 56c | 2,035$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…1503backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,031$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…d38cbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,025$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…175bbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,025$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…46d3backed Warriors | 56c | 2,022$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…a5fdbacked Warriors | 56c | 2,021$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1915…035abacked Warriors | 56c | 2,004$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…fab1backed Warriors | 56c | 1,991$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…130cbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…9be3backed Warriors | 56c | 1,984$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572d…b379backed Warriors | 56c | 1,983$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea5…286ebacked Warriors | 56c | 1,976$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…0f78backed Warriors | 56c | 1,974$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…77d2backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,959$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…3381backed Warriors | 56c | 1,952$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…0b59backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,940$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…6e1abacked Warriors | 56c | 1,937$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…1873backed Warriors | 56c | 1,935$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…3225backed Warriors | 56c | 1,918$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…6227backed Warriors | 56c | 1,908$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…af2fbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,902$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614a…e1e3backed Warriors | 56c | 1,898$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…94bbbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,886$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…69edbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,884$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8be9backed Warriors | 56c | 1,865$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca26…4e01backed Warriors | 56c | 1,858$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…f00fbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,855$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ca…e944backed Warriors | 56c | 1,847$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…146fbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,830$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…a858backed Warriors | 56c | 1,810$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…c22ebacked Warriors | 56c | 1,808$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…7c93backed Warriors | 56c | 1,799$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…1234backed Warriors | 56c | 1,787$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…15aebacked Warriors | 56c | 1,779$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…cdd6backed Warriors | 56c | 1,737$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f84…ad4abacked Warriors | 56c | 1,696$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…28a6backed Warriors | 56c | 1,676$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…13afbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,658$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…f66dbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,629$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…9989backed Warriors | 56c | 1,627$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…210dbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,579$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…710dbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,565$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…679abacked Warriors | 56c | 1,522$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…3120backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,497$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.