NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeed12b400350e91e71251497525ed998a352ba3255314d7a49bb83f880d8bd16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 6,319$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 4,517$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 48c | 3,576$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.52 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 3,453$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 2,561$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Over | 47c | 1,934$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.28 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 16c | 1,765$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,278$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 51c | 1,197$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.51 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 31c | 655.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 69c | 653.48$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.46 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 634.23$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 491.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 51c | 290.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 288.66$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 262.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 38c | 215.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 183.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 174.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 104.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…01eebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 37c | 95.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Under | 61c | 81.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 80c | 71.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 43c | 61.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Over | 42c | 58.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 55.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 55c | 53.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 36c | 52.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 60c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 42c | 50.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 43c | 45.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 38.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 37.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 49c | 31.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Over | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.