NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5eb78864b3a91eb04fe17a0daa6aae71dd7e3d954349a1210ad9b0fe6c5b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Grizzlies | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 32,956$17,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,431.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 48c | 23,912$11,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,434.1 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Warriors | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Warriors | 47c | 10,637$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.31 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 47c | 8,804$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.17 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Warriors | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 7,650$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 47c | 7,526$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 47c | 7,309$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.57 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 50c | 7,196$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 52c | 5,771$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 49c | 5,299$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Warriors | 48c | 4,852$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.9 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Warriors | 47c | 4,800$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 48c | 4,306$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Warriors | 47c | 2,667$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.3 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,500$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.25 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,488$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,331$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.43 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Warriors | 48c | 1,285$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.2 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 894.78$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 387$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grizzlies | 15c | 274$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 47c | 267.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 47c | 262.24$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 48c | 251.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Grizzlies | 53c | 237.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Warriors | 48c | 214$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Warriors | 49c | 207.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Warriors | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Warriors | 49c | 198.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Grizzlies | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 46c | 148.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Warriors | 49c | 134.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 134.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Grizzlies | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 124.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors | 57c | 118.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 46c | 112.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Warriors | 55c | 106.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 103.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Warriors | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…25dcbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 101.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…5c93backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 93.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Warriors | 48c | 84.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Warriors | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Warriors | 49c | 72.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Warriors | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…04bbbacked Warriors | 49c | 59.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Grizzlies | 35c | 57.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Warriors | 48c | 56.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Warriors | 47c | 55.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Grizzlies | 54c | 55.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 50.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Grizzlies | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Grizzlies | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Warriors | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Warriors | 48c | 48.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 43.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Warriors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Warriors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warriors | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…237abacked Warriors | 48c | 38.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Warriors | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…782bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 35.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Grizzlies | 54c | 34.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 46c | 31.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Warriors | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…9b60backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Grizzlies | 45c | 29.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 25.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…8b54backed Warriors | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 48c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Warriors | 48c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Grizzlies | 54c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…8a25backed Grizzlies | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…6c2fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.