TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0e7…6c2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$18.22
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+103.2%+$10.32
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$5.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$45.38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$10.3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$18.12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$10.18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$24.33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$24.76
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.85
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$12.88
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+208.7%+$39.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81%+$16.2
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.43
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$39.45
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+154.5%+$91.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$9.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.