Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0110fdaa2fa09d5d0351ed51013a047ffd8557d3f103f8653d3c384f8496d005

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $637,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $507,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,813 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	79c	48,754$38,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,204.41	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	8c	39,493$3,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,035.75	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	13,343$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	37c	11,025$4,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,963.61	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	11,000$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.63	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	23c	9,450$2,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.37	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	20c	9,419$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923.05	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	18c	8,825$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,581.46	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	60c	7,975$4,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,198.31	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	35c	7,709$2,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,692.77	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	68c	5,782$3,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,937.64	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb783…1a78backed Yes	75c	5,357$4,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,041.31	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	44c	5,217$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.76	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	0c	5,050$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b3…98f4backed Yes	1c	5,018$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	28c	5,000$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	10c	4,915$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.42	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No	72c	4,613$3,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.26	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	42c	4,570$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,669.04	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	20c	4,529$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.82	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	2c	4,373$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,265.65	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	2c	4,270$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,189.79	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	4,102$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	55c	3,987$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.1	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…08e8backed Yes	72c	3,877$2,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,789.06	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No	51c	3,848$1,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,893.06	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	47c	3,600$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,687.41	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	28c	3,288$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.83	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	3,100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	15c	3,084$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.04	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	0c	3,082$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	3,069$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	41c	2,875$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.49	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	53c	2,812$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	14c	2,753$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.73	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	15c	2,750$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.7	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	22c	2,743$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.96	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	2,700$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked No	76c	2,615$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.89	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	2,598$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	1c	2,560$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	2,534$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.72	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	38c	2,519$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.78	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	68c	2,407$1,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.89	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	44c	2,395$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.24	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked No	19c	2,377$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,924.43	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	2,372$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	19c	2,083$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.83	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	49c	2,073$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.67	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	37c	2,061$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,298.64	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	78c	1,990$1,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.64	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	40c	1,978$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.14	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	76c	1,961$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.34	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	42c	1,957$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.82	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed No	14c	1,900$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,641.52	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed No	25c	1,851$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,390.32	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	1,846$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,800$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	14c	1,776$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.09	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	2c	1,752$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	1,750$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	50c	1,684$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.25	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	37c	1,645$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.64	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	7c	1,630$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.48	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	26c	1,555$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.9	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	1,536$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.08	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	58c	1,506$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.15	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	1c	1,493$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	+607%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	50c	1,466$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.11	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	20c	1,457$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.93	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	56c	1,451$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.35	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	43c	1,436$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.65	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x952b…c92fbacked No	70c	1,430$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.47	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6b…0368backed Yes	1c	1,429$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+287.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5381…1ec5backed No	68c	1,391$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.45	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	46c	1,374$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.82	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	72c	1,334$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.97	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd6…200fbacked No	17c	1,332$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.81	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	71c	1,324$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.88	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bb…85a8backed Yes	20c	1,300$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.7	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed No	27c	1,300$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.12	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	21c	1,288$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.26	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf423…0ba0backed Yes	4c	1,278$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8a8a…4abdbacked Yes	68c	1,260$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.62	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	33c	1,214$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	44c	1,209$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.82	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	2c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,193$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.1	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	9c	1,126$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.87	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	61c	1,103$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.56	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eeb…afe4backed Yes	4c	1,098$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	15c	1,088$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.47	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	19c	1,082$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.34	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	9c	1,065$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.47	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	32c	1,063$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.48	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	51c	1,055$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.05	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	29c	1,052$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.3	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	11c	1,051$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.32	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	70c	1,051$735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	70c	1,023$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.09	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event