Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970e3ad62eef51542ce1d8818d1c76b3e015120d1d8de950e6a7239659cca5f6

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $563,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $328,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,235 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	39,058$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.06	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	24,694$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.03	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	16,086$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	15,995$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Yes	2c	14,508$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8a…4abdbacked Yes	1c	11,442$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	4c	8,177$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.53	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	7,545$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	1c	7,400$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	7,001$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.03	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes	0c	6,573$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	50	24%12 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	5,776$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	1c	5,314$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes	0c	5,251$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	2c	5,064$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.69	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	0c	4,760$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	4,669$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.37	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,575$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.85	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	5c	4,438$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,334$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.82	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb4…1055backed Yes	0c	4,047$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	3,840$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.98	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes	1c	3,770$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	25c	3,550$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.55	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	11c	3,309$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.17	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	8c	3,014$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.03	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	11c	2,481$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.3	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	10c	2,072$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.43	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f2…f75fbacked Yes	1c	2,046$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	10c	2,025$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	6c	1,886$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.68	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	4c	1,817$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.53	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	1,800$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.46	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	4c	1,711$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,661$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	2c	1,659$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	1c	1,616$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	4c	1,596$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.88	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	1,373$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.78	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	1,369$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.43	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	6c	1,345$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.4	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6293…d14dbacked Yes	1c	1,338$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	6c	1,336$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.75	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98d…5a68backed Yes	2c	1,292$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…fe63backed Yes	3c	1,275$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.66	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…0d51backed Yes	3c	1,244$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	1,215$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.58	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	1,150$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.1	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	16c	1,136$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.15	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,128$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.78	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	3c	1,128$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	1,051$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	7c	1,045$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.33	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	1c	996.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed Yes	8c	977.81$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	221	42.5%94 W · 127 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	974.07$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	2c	965.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	6c	909.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.78	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	3c	857.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	2c	809.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e9…8be2backed Yes	9c	783.25$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	9c	750$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	5c	745.37$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	9c	739.77$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.9	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	5c	729.22$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	24c	699.99$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.64	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a03…3db7backed Yes	7c	699.84$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.71	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	9c	695.44$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.29	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	8c	690$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.94	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	24c	686.86$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.09	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	5c	679.59$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.85	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c5…dd45backed Yes	14c	654.14$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.9	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	5c	650.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.92	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7649…0cd2backed Yes	2c	634.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	610.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.99	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	7c	586.39$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.87	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	4c	585.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	6cpaid	+338.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	10c	564.14$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.78	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb411…8a7cbacked Yes	5c	555.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	18c	544.67$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb810…8919backed Yes	4c	514.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	15c	511.95$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.12	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	10c	510.69$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.77	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	11c	500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	21c	493.64$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.23	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	480.22$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	3c	471.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	461.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.11	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	11c	455.4$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	4c	445.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	7c	438.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca9c…dd9dbacked Yes	7c	413.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	392.35$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	8c	381.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.54	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1188…ef49backed Yes	9c	377.2$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf86c…559fbacked Yes	9c	344.05$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.72	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x515d…36e1backed Yes	5c	342.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event