Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6937b27fd3e946f9b53cb40d7e05d60c48dc73c17209d101d41c59b0fd09b6df

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $304,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $174,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,070 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	21,201$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.33	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	8,259$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.82	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	6,750$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.22	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	0c	6,450$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	6,143$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.3	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,555$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	5,410$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.5	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	20c	5,091$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.82	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	46	4.3%2 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-93.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	5,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	2c	4,351$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.73	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	4,235$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.89	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	4,233$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.56	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	14c	4,000$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.92	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	18c	3,815$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	3,806$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.21	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	3,167$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes	9c	2,898$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	9c	2,456$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.34	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	2,408$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.52	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	2,108$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.02	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	4c	1,572$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.98	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	5c	1,400$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.54	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	1,390$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.25	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	7c	1,355$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.93	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	17c	1,274$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.65	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	5c	1,250$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	5c	1,204$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.51	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	1,193$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	3c	1,190$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,170$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.15	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	1,144$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.05	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	1,066$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.62	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,055$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes	13c	1,032$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.17	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f4…2a00backed Yes	18c	1,031$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	9c	1,002$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.53	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	999.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	976.44$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6259…c692backed Yes	3c	971.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.66	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	13c	950.61$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.6	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	928.95$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.9	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	24c	822.18$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.18	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	814.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	720$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	12c	720$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.3	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	672.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	668.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	10c	660.48$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.26	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…83a2backed Yes	9c	654.21$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.26	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	3c	627.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	7c	624.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	7c	612.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	3c	611.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	566.25$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	80c	558.01$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.68	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	6c	530.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	523.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d88…1d65backed Yes	25c	516.32$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.08	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	512.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	6c	509.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	7c	497$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.06	105	12.4%13 W · 92 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	484.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	25c	480$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fff…3cf1backed Yes	4c	449.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	447.42$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.83	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	11c	444.02$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	9c	425.15$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.38	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	19c	410$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.34	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	76c	400$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	75c	400$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	17c	399.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14a6…cca7backed Yes	3c	395.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	21c	376.76$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	374.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb4…1055backed Yes	3c	346.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	5c	334.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	14c	321.18$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.97	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes	20c	315$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5312…9e9bbacked Yes	8c	306.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	15c	300$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219f…dbd9backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde69…9646backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	14c	281.91$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.47	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	21c	278.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.46	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca9c…dd9dbacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	22c	276$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	7c	261.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	6c	260.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	5c	241.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	22c	205.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.11	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	6c	200.03$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	17c	200$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a6…9fc1backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaee…8911backed Yes	21c	194.17$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event