TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43eb…e6c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8224.4%20 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.96
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+247.3%+$758.42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.79
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$38.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+236.7%+$81.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$442.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.15
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.68
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.29
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.12
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.83
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$51.15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.7
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+644.4%+$1,636.68
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$716.84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.16
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.06
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.5
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$32.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$10.57
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$172.62
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$11.11
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$27.87
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$67.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.91
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.