Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4164b4cf60d55b2c93d772c508b729c5c8502a1b8c6ee555fa54609f97358712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 2,699$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.15 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 1,848$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 1,640$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 24c | 1,378$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 1,002$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 67c | 981.16$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.78 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 32c | 649.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 72c | 625$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 569.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 63c | 512.17$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 70c | 491$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…6d9cbacked No | 25c | 413.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 67c | 365.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 352.39$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 32c | 350.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked No | 29c | 336.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 6c | 334.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 68c | 208.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 180.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 71c | 173.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 32c | 173$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 162.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 130.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 79c | 126.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 64c | 126.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 151 | 37.7%57 W · 94 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 121.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 22c | 105.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…0f82backed Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 30c | 68.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 67c | 54.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 50.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…3683backed Yes | 76c | 45.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 62c | 42.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 40.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 77c | 36.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 62c | 36.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes | 71c | 35.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Yes | 69c | 35.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 31c | 33.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 79c | 31.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Yes | 79c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 73c | 29.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 27.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 62c | 26.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Yes | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf539…281ebacked Yes | 79c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…8793backed Yes | 68c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.