TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x660d…56ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
581
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT26549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 265 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$137.25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.99
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.82
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.59
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$145.5
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$280.9
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$149.55
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$137.25
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$323.44
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$207.85
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.99
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$212.91
Will CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$398.61
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.99
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$45.19
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.28
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.9
Showing 25 of 265 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT11551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$184.79
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$319.79
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$122.29
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$170.25
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$367.64
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$208.7
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.51
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$226.14
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.97
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$169.56
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.92
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$192.49
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$471.64
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$368.72
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.3
Will FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$169.77
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$330.47
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT11146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$343.8
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$352.62
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27%+$103.07
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.63
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$338.75
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$156.03
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$430.75
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.8
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$103.27
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$382
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$187.05
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.6
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.14
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$455.68
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$269.98
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$586.67
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.94
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$189.5
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT9043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$244
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$176.69
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$219.6
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.8
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$179.67
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$234.43
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.99
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$266.14
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.07
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.28
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$304.7
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$78.84
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.99
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$420.2
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.93
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.