La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cacd5f005a7d8241b71fdec067d39abc2311add35d21d3c3162e4d91d84fdfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 19,999$10,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,773.92 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 47c | 12,652$5,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,751.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 6,986$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.55 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,232$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…bd59backed Yes | 55c | 3,624$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 47c | 2,309$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 1,779$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.03 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 1,727$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.39 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,581$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 58c | 1,563$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.17 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 1,470$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.11 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…ae4ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,115$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 71c | 951$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.12 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed No | 49c | 924.49$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 639.2$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 71c | 606$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.26 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 501$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 54c | 451.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 55c | 273.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 52c | 256.69$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Yes | 53c | 240.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 56c | 222.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +987.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 60c | 185.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…3a23backed Yes | 44c | 181.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 171.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 54c | 170.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 45c | 143.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 142.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 34c | 133.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 8c | 132.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 121.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 116$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 24c | 104.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 91.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 54c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 46c | 72.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 66.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 77c | 65.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 46c | 64.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed No | 46c | 64.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 25c | 60.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 46c | 58.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 54c | 50.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 48.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 46c | 47.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 44c | 45.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 53c | 38.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 32c | 34.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 46c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 68c | 30.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 66c | 28.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked No | 46c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 45c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b1c6backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…d067backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.