TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0318…d067

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$27.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.75
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.9
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+84%+$17.02
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+258.3%+$28.84
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.4%+$13.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked NOVO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.