Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ed2f6e2b644f9a1fb3b1afd368a95706fb2356b2dd12a98c77c55e7836fbc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 16c | 22,387$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 10c | 5,665$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.85 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…bae9backed Yes | 12c | 2,556$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,119$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5ea5backed Yes | 13c | 1,989$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…b2c2backed Yes | 10c | 1,178$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1313backed Yes | 12c | 1,034$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 10c | 965.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…ff25backed Yes | 7c | 749.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 696.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…010cbacked Yes | 11c | 553.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 539.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 8c | 478.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…266abacked Yes | 13c | 443.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 13c | 390.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…1efdbacked Yes | 8c | 324.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…11ecbacked Yes | 10c | 315.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 312.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f73abacked Yes | 7c | 299.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…6ee7backed Yes | 13c | 263.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…497cbacked Yes | 12c | 217.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d734backed Yes | 12c | 206.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 10c | 198.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…9ca9backed Yes | 13c | 157.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…0a05backed Yes | 12c | 147.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…a7b2backed Yes | 12c | 121.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…6afdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…984dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 12c | 96.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…5e72backed Yes | 12c | 95.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 89.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…d067backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?No won
- Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.