TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9fa…6ee7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistanbacked Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$107.55
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.04
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$44.63
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$13.97
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$111.51
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.88
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$64.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+157.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+98.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+169%+$20.28
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+87.1%+$43.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.