TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,462,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,467,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,462,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Under42c124,420$52,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,390.432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over64c120,453$76,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,497.8642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over58c118,287$68,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,680.6842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under38c104,500$39,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,709.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5848…a698backed Over55c89,474$49,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,249.661866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Under43c56,550$24,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,320.189747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c53,983$33,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,632.831,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over50c49,530$24,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,765.0714843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under34c45,491$15,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,609.062,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c42,733$16,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,888.4677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under44c40,000$17,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,579.4627039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over56c37,270$20,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,398.920844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under36c35,940$12,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,938.4774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under38c35,080$13,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,330.429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c25,935$10,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,786.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Under36c23,314$8,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,487.278046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Under49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c18,857$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Under44c17,080$7,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,515.122420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Under38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7002931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over58c13,503$7,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,668.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c12,285$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under43c11,877$5,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,115.662,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over62c11,290$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.329948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over62c8,890$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.213550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under48c8,786$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.9614946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Over58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.693966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under44c8,511$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.8110744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over62c8,238$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.4740649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over62c8,072$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.3610849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.528348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,04036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under36c7,291$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.761,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under27c7,275$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under36c6,894$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.752867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over60c6,715$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.6540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under43c6,400$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Under16c6,019$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.523818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.3514734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Under43c5,842$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.016847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c5,405$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over58c5,191$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.441,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Over61c5,108$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.26662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99db…97eabacked Over59c5,000$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.925336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over58c4,443$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.188251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over65c4,416$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.151,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over56c4,359$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.9311963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over56c4,286$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.718672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Under39c4,201$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.567537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under33c4,161$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over60c3,623$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over61c3,500$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over62c3,307$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.6737850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under23c3,096$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5413234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under13c3,082$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over62c3,048$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.6539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under42c3,011$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over61c3,000$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9738526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f7…97d4backed Over57c2,963$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over62c2,800$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over61c2,690$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.2259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under38c2,680$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.3938948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Over60c2,535$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0147451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Under44c2,400$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04514554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under42c2,386$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under41c2,300$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c2,283$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over60c2,260$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.1711952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over63c2,197$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.0613943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over59c2,121$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.8135251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under14c2,005$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over58c1,967$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.041,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under40c1,927$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Under44c1,918$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.556254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7123230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7120626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over56c1,770$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.0533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3910339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3917453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Over56c1,750$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.5333549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under15c1,609$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4219744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under42c1,571$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over61c1,362$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.8119750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Under44c1,354$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.755040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under36c1,350$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under39c1,337$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.181,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Under45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over57c1,328$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9347442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Under38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaee…447ebacked Under42c1,217$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.