TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb673…d240backed Over27c1,331$359 inWon+$971.583525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under68c1,306$888 inLost-$887.9811558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over27c1,005$271 inWon+$733.392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under68c755.84$514 inLost-$513.9753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under73c700$511 inLost-$5113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c622.88$454 inLost-$454.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c576.51$184 inWon+$392.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over29c542.89$156 inWon+$387.152,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under70c302.75$212 inLost-$21282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over77c150$116 inWon+$341,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over28c123.5$35 inWon+$88.822,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c110.71$79 inLost-$79.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over32c94.06$30 inWon+$64.061,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under65c80$52 inLost-$522,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45e…9f60backed Over35c80$28 inWon+$523545.7%16 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Over27c76.12$21 inWon+$55.625646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7584…d6e6backed Under69c64$44 inLost-$44.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over31c50$16 inWon+$34.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under22c50$11 inLost-$1172247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over29c40.39$12 inWon+$28.7487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over32c36.72$12 inWon+$24.972,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under73c35$26 inLost-$25.591,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Under70c28.57$20 inLost-$209842.9%42 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under71c24.22$17 inLost-$17.082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under73c22.38$16 inLost-$16.2536350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c17.64$12 inLost-$11.822,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under73c16.25$12 inLost-$11.8686656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under68c15.45$11 inLost-$10.5719862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.