TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$578,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$630,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c42,962$13,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,691.324,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under50c34,014$17,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,002.2127039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under63c25,000$15,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,749.4214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over46c24,348$11,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,265.5842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under50c19,465$9,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,678.3164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c15,821$9,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,551.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under4c15,596$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under48c14,936$7,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,196.0944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c10,301$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,845.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c9,659$5,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,789.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under74c9,138$6,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,740.253865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Over32c9,004$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,127.227945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under50c8,917$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,467.3926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under68c8,806$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over51c8,631$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.431,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under65c8,288$5,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,366.1629740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over40c6,979$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.8638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under45c6,297$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.8643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under45c6,061$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.7358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over69c5,782$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.4759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c5,199$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.51,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c5,119$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.3436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over6c5,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Over42c4,807$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.534472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9171…9e5fbacked Over23c4,349$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+83.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c4,000$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,99622342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…a024backed Under17c4,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601861.1%11 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.43per pick19cpaid+216.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over6c3,875$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64eb…6bcabacked Under17c3,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001457.1%8 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.40per pick18cpaid+207.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over9c3,358$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.2537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under13c3,092$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.658615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under54c3,086$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under52c3,038$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.82,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4708057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under20c3,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6105139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under74c2,745$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over15c2,452$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.6912117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over2c2,409$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over20c2,372$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.225244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Over46c2,163$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over32c2,076$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.6236539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over50c2,036$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01827655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over5c2,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9915920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under8c1,969$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under38c1,914$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4731232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over47c1,865$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.5787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under17c1,747$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.012744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under60c1,680$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over24c1,679$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.176241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under69c1,617$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.815967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over51c1,430$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under58c1,420$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4813223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over29c1,378$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.6598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under3c1,318$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2218628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c1,290$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.631,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over5c1,253$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.5412538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over20c1,249$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c1,233$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.082,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under56c1,217$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under64c1,212$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over5c1,200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over9c1,138$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.1519713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under50c1,128$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3419744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under5c1,113$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5718929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over26c1,088$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.762,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over18c1,075$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.494238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under58c1,052$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.2158942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over36c1,022$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.4646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over6c1,000$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9407044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Over7c1,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9307429.7%22 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over50c999.98$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under3c982.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.181,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Under71c961.15$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.263748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under15c899.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under57c875.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over6c810.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.7143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910e…29bcbacked Over4c784.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.24450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick13cpaid+941.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over64c781.47$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.41,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c768.23$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Over74c765.83$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5214238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under44c740.53$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.914,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over54c734.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4679149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under9c705.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.651,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over37c699.7$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0263544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over30c671.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.95343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under10c634.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over36c633.34$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3433544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225f…5978backed Under49c606.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42627543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked Under15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over5c600$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over22c587.69$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.5111020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over35c565.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.735356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under72c552.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc889…4903backed Over49c551.36$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3610143.6%44 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82b…2c44backed Over6c550$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5172321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over38c528.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6618544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over2c526.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.328348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Over22c519.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4510946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c500.99$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.742,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.