Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefff1ef0cb940b067471a816967bfc305bd9d7f002a778387677f513d5bb47d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 32,038$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,995.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 17c | 19,150$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,835.26 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Over | 14c | 5,113$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 4,242$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.06 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a024backed Under | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.43per pick | 19cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 55c | 2,089$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.11 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 2,024$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.21 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed Under | 17c | 1,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 4c | 1,370$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.59 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 1,200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.21 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 13c | 1,133$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Over | 7c | 1,080$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 76c | 990.27$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 9c | 910.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.63 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 11c | 889.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.83 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 8c | 711.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.22 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 20c | 675.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.8 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Over | 34c | 525$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.97 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 29c | 515$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 4c | 479$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.45 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Over | 22c | 452.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 16c | 386$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 367.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Over | 9c | 366.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 10c | 361$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.13 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 4c | 300$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 7c | 269.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 7c | 253.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 15c | 238$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 16c | 221.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 17c | 193.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 167.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 15c | 121.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 18c | 108.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 27c | 97.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 15c | 90.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Over | 22c | 68.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Over | 23c | 65.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 52.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 80c | 25.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5this page
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.