TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e66…bbd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Golf at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT11549.6%57 W · 58 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.8
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.3
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.36
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.98
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.33
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.53
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.99
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$148.18
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.92
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.79
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.79
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.58
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$63.24
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.09
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.27
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.99
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.57
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.86
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$147.88
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$109.21
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.06
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.71
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$582.32
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.78
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.75
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$177.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.22
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$49.86
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$65.76
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$11.88
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.62
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.68
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.86
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+148.3%+$210.48
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.94
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.91
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$660.26
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.59
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.97
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$257.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$83.73
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$115.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.57
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+281.4%+$446.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.02
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.83
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.09
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$186.09
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+135%+$51.39
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$131.61
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.28
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$26.61
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+335.9%+$50.65
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.85
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.53
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.32
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$111.49
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108.03
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$73.47
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47%+$114.9
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.1
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.54
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.73
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$111.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$200.96
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.