Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x917aa2a97c0945edecd7b26b57d31e6d9c87c6e0b7d589c128c9216f345a6051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Portugal, Croatia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,597,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,954,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,597,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,001 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Portugal | 72c | 511,144$369,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,842.39 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Croatia | 32c | 404,367$130,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,901.01 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Croatia | 45c | 346,416$155,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,006.57 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Croatia | 30c | 323,483$97,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,502.97 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Croatia | 30c | 169,599$51,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,141.73 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Croatia | 28c | 122,220$33,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,610.55 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Croatia | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Portugal | 70c | 85,715$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,714.51 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…ba32backed Portugal | 72c | 75,196$53,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,272.61 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Croatia | 30c | 73,029$21,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,605.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Croatia | 27c | 68,003$18,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,265.98 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Portugal | 71c | 63,813$45,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,226.9 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Croatia | 21c | 59,154$12,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,697.63 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Croatia | 40c | 56,450$22,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,676.3 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Croatia | 29c | 50,937$14,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,665.68 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portugal | 70c | 49,731$34,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,079.74 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Portugal | 72c | 46,234$33,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,767.08 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Portugal | 65c | 45,063$29,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,620.69 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Portugal | 61c | 42,918$26,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,912.35 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Portugal | 56c | 42,622$23,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,675.66 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Portugal | 71c | 40,937$28,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,953.39 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portugal | 69c | 40,326$27,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,617.38 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Croatia | 40c | 40,000$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,800 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portugal | 68c | 39,234$26,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,696.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Portugal | 70c | 38,053$26,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,571.23 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portugal | 57c | 36,866$20,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,887.48 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Croatia | 28c | 36,671$10,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,084.45 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Portugal | 78c | 36,091$28,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.27 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Croatia | 28c | 34,143$9,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…dc5fbacked Portugal | 43c | 33,831$14,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,148.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Croatia | 28c | 33,672$9,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,343.98 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Portugal | 72c | 32,542$23,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,981.55 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Croatia | 4c | 31,857$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.7 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Croatia | 40c | 31,642$12,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,636.31 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Croatia | 28c | 30,721$8,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,525 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Portugal | 73c | 30,400$22,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,208 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…a743backed Portugal | 72c | 28,962$20,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,964.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed Croatia | 30c | 28,638$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Croatia | 28c | 27,000$7,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,667.67 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Portugal | 73c | 26,600$19,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,191.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Portugal | 75c | 26,500$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.73 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Portugal | 70c | 26,486$18,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,815.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Portugal | 71c | 25,930$18,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.16 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Portugal | 67c | 25,373$16,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,403.14 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Croatia | 46c | 25,334$11,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,533.41 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portugal | 67c | 25,145$16,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Croatia | 54c | 25,080$13,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,612.08 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Croatia | 30c | 25,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.98 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Croatia | 28c | 22,222$6,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.59 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Portugal | 46c | 21,645$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,594.94 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Portugal | 56c | 21,105$11,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,239.03 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Portugal | 65c | 20,800$13,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,261 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Portugal | 73c | 20,690$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Croatia | 28c | 20,599$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.3 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Portugal | 72c | 20,559$14,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.69 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Croatia | 21c | 20,457$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.5 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Portugal | 73c | 20,400$14,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Croatia | 36c | 20,101$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Portugal | 66c | 19,510$12,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,730.62 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Croatia | 4c | 19,477$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.21 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…0d33backed Portugal | 70c | 17,916$12,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Croatia | 28c | 17,678$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.01 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Croatia | 28c | 16,680$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.97 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Portugal | 70c | 16,473$11,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.05 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Portugal | 72c | 16,347$11,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed Portugal | 74c | 16,000$11,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Portugal | 62c | 15,729$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.78 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Croatia | 36c | 15,585$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.36 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Croatia | 28c | 15,000$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Croatia | 28c | 15,000$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Portugal | 72c | 15,000$10,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.47 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…e736backed Croatia | 60c | 14,977$8,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,941.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…59bdbacked Croatia | 28c | 14,777$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Portugal | 53c | 14,616$7,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.86 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Portugal | 71c | 14,319$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Portugal | 67c | 14,188$9,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c845backed Portugal | 71c | 14,044$9,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…5dabbacked Portugal | 72c | 14,008$10,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Portugal | 64c | 14,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Croatia | 37c | 13,999$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.98 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Portugal | 72c | 13,841$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.83 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Portugal | 73c | 13,793$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.1 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Portugal | 67c | 13,760$9,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.99 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Portugal | 73c | 13,715$10,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Portugal | 74c | 13,600$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Croatia | 36c | 13,096$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.64 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Croatia | 31c | 12,851$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.97 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Portugal | 57c | 12,763$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,515.96 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Croatia | 13c | 12,670$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.78 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Portugal | 65c | 12,322$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.94 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Portugal | 70c | 12,232$8,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.12 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…2385backed Croatia | 30c | 12,000$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portugal | 72c | 11,966$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.78 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Portugal | 73c | 11,853$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.21 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Portugal | 43c | 11,504$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.35 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Portugal | 61c | 11,381$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.88 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Croatia | 27c | 11,314$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Portugal | 73c | 11,172$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.41 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Croatia | 54c | 11,083$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025.35 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Portugal | 72c | 10,963$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancethis page
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.