TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,710 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under66c3,169$2,090 inWon+$1,078.631,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over34c2,521$857 inLost-$857.062,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c1,228$300 inLost-$299.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under76c1,189$905 inWon+$284.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c547.18$167 inLost-$166.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under74c510$377 inWon+$13316165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under65c500$325 inWon+$17537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under66c499.97$330 inWon+$169.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under67c409.11$274 inWon+$135.091,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under65c394.96$255 inWon+$139.623,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost-$10011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Over19c263.16$50 inLost-$5012417.7%22 W · 102 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Under64c230.69$148 inWon+$83.056352.4%33 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over27c200$54 inLost-$5427028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over36c166.67$60 inLost-$6010844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa7…e288backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost-$503721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6838…6911backed Over34c147.06$50 inLost-$508028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4623…5b37backed Over25c120$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over35c103$36 inLost-$36.222,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over24c100$24 inLost-$242,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over34c99.99$34 inLost-$3453436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under64c94.85$61 inWon+$34.155549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost-$2516544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d83…c000backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost-$253534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under64c63.46$41 inWon+$22.8595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under68c60$41 inWon+$19.532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over23c56$13 inLost-$13.031,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over35c42.86$15 inLost-$158429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under67c36.1$24 inWon+$11.9125857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ff…aa94backed Over35c34.29$12 inLost-$1210951.4%56 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Over36c33.33$12 inLost-$125749.1%28 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over35c30$11 inLost-$10.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under65c18.11$12 inWon+$6.3221051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a4…7077backed Under67c17.91$12 inWon+$5.913951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.